Артём Драгунов. Про атаку США по северокорейским целям

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Все знают, что Драгунов ни разу не аналитик, хотя в политике, совсем нулевым, его не назовёшь. Однако, это всё же некая аналитика которая сделана через призму его дара. Так же хочется напомнить, что с политическими прогнозами последнее время у Драгунова беда. То есть практически все не сбываются, то ли время ещё не наступило, то ли политика не его.

Думаю, нечто подобное будет у него и с этим прогнозом, лично я без всякого дара в войну КНДР и США не верю. Америкозы не рискнут. Остаётся только подождать. А пока собственно пост Драгунова:

Атака возможна в любой момент. В списке целей - бункеры Кима, генеральный штаб армии, армейские штабы, ракетные базы.

По моим интуитивным и эфирным наблюдениям, к побережью Кореи подошло не менее семи подлодок, и на подходе ещё четыре. И это не китайские и не корейские...

Хотя наземные корабли довольно далеко. Наверно маскировка такая.
Первый удар нанесут с лодок, потом уже ракетами, и как кода  - подойдёт флот подавлять оставшееся....
Главная цель -  сам КИМ, возможна даже спецоперация против него.
Китай дал принципиальное согласие, но только если атака будет чисто ракетно-воздушной.
Наши по сути почти дали согласие, в обмен на кое что, что и так понятно.
Наземную операцию Китай запретил проводить. У китайцев есть свой кандидат на трон Северной Кореи.
Китай берёт ядерную программу Северной Кореи под свой контроль, да и всю страну переводит в зону своего влияния.
Южная Корея остаётся подамериканской. Иначе Южная Корея получает своё ядерное и средства доставки.
Южнокорейская президентша была против плана и её быстро убрали...
Но в Южной Корее создаются ракетные базы и новая база флота.

Допускаю объединение Корей, но тут опекуном должен выступить и Китай, а переговоры с ним ещё не закончены.
Хотя думаю  - договорятся...

Таким образом Китай усиливает своё влияние в Азии, расширяя зоны влияния, и тут они будут поделены между Россией, Китаем и штатами.
Корона пытается отхватить куски, и отстоять своё. А своим она считает влияние на сам Китай.... Китайская элита расколота именно между национальной и подкоронной...

И да. По сути Сирию разделяют на три зоны. Зона нынешних властей ( пророссийская, проиранская), зона сирийской оппозиции ( протурецкая), зона радикалов ( проамериканская и саудиты)

По давней традиции арабских войн и конфликтов, границы проводят по естественным водоёмам, рекам или хребтам.
Поэтому этот код называю "Ефрат"...

Оригинал взят у artemdragunov в Про атаку США по северокорейским целям

 
 

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